Statistical inference and subjective probabilities
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Subjective Statistical Inference Based on Pure Associations
The “Fourth axiom of probability theory” quickly yields Bayes Theorem – and hence how to deal with inverse probabilities (e.g., P(h|e) versus P(e|h)) – and shows in odds form the importance of likelihood ratios as opposed to simple likelihoods. This paper discusses a problem more basic than ignoring Bayes Theorem. The problem is making no comparisons at all! Just associating. Thus, if P(A|B) or...
متن کاملSubjective and Other Probabilities
Historically, the term probability has been associated with a number of different concepts. The standard mathematical definition due to Kolmogorov (1933/1950) identifies probability with a countably additive measure on a σ algebra.1 This definition underlies a powerful theory that includes the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. Yet in the applications of this theory, probabilit...
متن کاملstatistical inference via empirical bayes approach for stationary and dynamic contingency tables
چکیده ندارد.
15 صفحه اولUnanimous subjective probabilities
This note shows that if the space of events is sufficiently rich and the subjective probability function of each individual is non-atomic, then there is a σ -algebra of events over which everyone will have the same probability function, and moreover, the range of this common probability is the entire unit interval.
متن کاملProcrustean statistical inference of deformations
A two step method has been devised for the statistical inference of deformation changes. In the first step of this method and based on Procrustes analysis of deformation tensors, the significance of the change in a time or space series of deformation tensors is statistically analyzed. In the second step significant change(s) in deformations are localized. In other words, they are assigned to ce...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Statistica Neerlandica
سال: 1973
ISSN: 0039-0402,1467-9574
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9574.1973.tb00222.x